
Is it true that the new COVID strain PJ.2.1 is very dangerous and is being hidden in Russia and Kazakhstan?
検証日 · 更新 · 再検証 · 追跡期限
うわさ: Posts online claim the new coronavirus variant PJ.2.1 is "very dangerous", "evades immunity" and is already spreading in Russia and Kazakhstan, with authorities hiding it.
1. 判定
PJ.2.1 exists: it is an Omicron descendant with many mutations, first found in Canada in May 2026. But there is no data that it causes more severe illness, and lab studies did not find strong immune escape. It has not been officially detected in Russia or Kazakhstan. The WHO explains this by the small number of samples tested, not by a cover-up.
High: there is primary data (two lab studies and Ontario surveillance data), and the WHO, Rospotrebnadzor (Russia's consumer health watchdog) and Kazakhstan's health ministry agree with it. Not "very high": the studies are not yet peer-reviewed and there is little data on severity, so the picture may change.
2. 更新
- . The WHO told RIA Novosti that in December its expert group on vaccine composition (TAG-CO-VAC) will review data on PJ.2.1 and two other variants, ST.1 and SW.2.1, and update vaccine recommendations if needed. This is a routine review, not an alarm signal. According to a summary by Moika78 (a St. Petersburg news site), the WHO notes that PJ.2.1's growing share (mainly in the US and Canada) is not accompanied by an overall rise in COVID cases. There are still no confirmed cases in Russia. The same day, virologist Elena Malinnikova told Rossiyskaya Gazeta that PJ.2.1 "supposedly" causes a worse sore throat and longer-lasting fatigue. She was retelling others' observations and cited no studies. The verdict does not change.[11][12][13]
3. 主張と事実
- «A new coronavirus strain, PJ.2.1, has appeared»事実
True. It is a descendant of Omicron (lineage MC.10.1) with more than 25 changes in the spike protein, which the virus uses to enter cells. The first sample was found in Ontario, Canada, in May 2026. The variant was later found in the US, Spain and other countries.[1][2][19]
- «The strain is "very dangerous"»虚偽
No evidence. The WHO says there is no published clinical data showing more severe illness than with other recent variants. Rospotrebnadzor (Russia's consumer health watchdog) sees no rise in pneumonia, respiratory failure or hospitalizations. Kazakhstan's Ministry of Health also sees no signs of more severe disease.[9][8][20]
- «The strain "evades immunity"»歪曲
Not confirmed so far. Two non-peer-reviewed lab studies showed that antibodies of people who had COVID or were vaccinated handle PJ.2.1 about as well as other variants. Its distinctive feature is different: it binds to cells more tightly, so it may spread more easily.[1][2]
- «The strain is spreading fast»一部事実
Partly true. In Ontario its share of tested samples rose from 3.1% to 13.0% (from late July to September 19). That is 30 samples out of 231, so the sample is small. The WHO calls its global share insignificant, but warns that the risk of it being brought in by travel is growing.[3][9][10]
- «The strain is already spreading in Russia and Kazakhstan»検証不能
Not confirmed. Rospotrebnadzor and the WHO report no registered cases in Russia. Kazakhstan's Ministry of Health did not find PJ.2.1 in the samples it checked. Scientists allow that some cases may have gone unnoticed.[10][16][20][17]
- «Authorities are hiding the strain»虚偽
No evidence. The WHO explains the lack of detected cases by the variant's small share and by relatively little genome sequencing of the virus in Russia (decoding its genetic code). In other words, it may simply be going unnoticed. Media and agencies discuss the topic openly.[10][17]
- «Rapid tests do not detect the new strain»検証不能
This is what some doctors say. The publications cite no studies or data from test makers.[18][17]
4. うわさの出どころ
- ≈ Science · en
In May 2026 the first PJ.2.1 sample is found in Ontario, Canada. The exact day is not given in open scientific data.[2]
- bioRxiv · en
First lab study (not peer-reviewed): the variant binds strongly to cells but does not escape antibodies noticeably more than others.[2]
- Public Health Ontario · en
Ontario report: PJ.2.1 became the most common variant, at 13% of 231 tested samples.[3]
- bioRxiv · en
Second study (Germany, not peer-reviewed): the variant is spreading in the US, Canada and Spain, more often among people over 60. No strong immune escape.[1]
- Izvestia · ru
Article about an "ultramutant": the strain may arrive in Russia or may already be here unnoticed. Doctors say rapid tests may miss it.[17][18]
- Rospotrebnadzor · ru
The agency: no cases in Russia, and no signs of more severe illness either.[8][16]
- WHO · en
The WHO requests data to update vaccine composition in December. PJ.2.1 is mentioned among "potentially new" variants.[6]
- WHO (Russia office) · ru
The risk of the variant being brought in is growing because of travel, but there is no clinical data on more severe illness.[9][15]
- RIA Novosti · ru
Academician Gennady Onishchenko: there will be no pandemic, and there is no data on greater aggressiveness.[14]
- WHO (Russia office) · ru
No confirmed cases in Russia. The variant's share is insignificant, and the low volume of sample testing makes it hard to find.[10]
- nur.kz · ru
Kazakhstan's Ministry of Health: PJ.2.1 was not found in the samples checked, and there is no data on more severe disease.[20]
- WHO (via RIA Novosti) · ru
In December the WHO will review PJ.2.1, ST.1 and SW.2.1 as part of updating vaccine composition. PJ.2.1's growing share is not accompanied by an overall rise in cases.[11][12]
- Rossiyskaya Gazeta · ru
Virologist Malinnikova: PJ.2.1 "supposedly" causes a worse sore throat and longer fatigue. She cited no data.[13]
文面の変化
- Scientific papers: "a new variant, needs monitoring"
- → Izvestia: "ultramutant", may already be in Russia unnoticed
- → Headlines: "evades immunity", "harder for tests to catch"
- → Posts: "very dangerous", "already spreading in Russia and Kazakhstan"
- → + "authorities are hiding it"
5. メディアの報道
- Rospotrebnadzor (via RIA Novosti, Gazeta)否定
No cases in Russia, no signs of more severe illness. This is the agency's official position.[8][16]
- WHO, Russia office (via RIA Novosti)背景
The risk of the variant being brought in is growing, but there is no data on severe illness. No confirmed cases in Russia, and few samples are tested there.[9][10]
- WHO (via RIA Novosti and Moika78)背景
In December WHO experts will review PJ.2.1 along with other variants when updating vaccine composition. It is not causing an overall rise in cases.[11][12]
- Kazakhstan's Ministry of Health (via nur.kz)否定
The variant was not found in the samples checked, and there is no data on more severe disease.[20]
- ECDC (European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control)背景
As of October 30, PJ.2.1 is not on any list of variants under special monitoring.[4]
- Izvestia転載
Introduced the word "ultramutant" and the idea that the strain may already be in Russia unnoticed. It does not attribute severe symptoms to it.[17]
- Rossiyskaya Gazeta背景
"More contagious, but unlikely more dangerous": a calm explainer.[19]
- Reuters, AP, AFP言及なし
No separate fact-checks on PJ.2.1 found.
7. 情報操作の兆候
- A label that plays on fear. "Ultramutant" is what Izvestia called the variant, and the word spread across headlines.
- Real facts mixed with invention. The strain and its growth in Canada are real, but "very dangerous" and "hidden" are backed by nothing.
- Misreading "not detected". The WHO says directly that the small volume of sample testing makes the variant hard to find. That is not the same as a cover-up.
- Opinion presented as established fact. Some doctors spoke about rapid tests, and nobody cites any studies.
8. 過去の類似したうわさ
- The heavily mutated variant BA.2.86 ("Pirola") caused a wave of alarming headlines
結果: There was no more severe illness. Its descendant JN.1 later became the dominant variant in winter 2023–24, but without particular severity.[22]
- Variant XFG ("Stratus") is supposedly surging in Kazakhstan, and tourists complain of severe illness
結果: Kazakhstan's Ministry of Health: the variant has long been in the country, the situation is stable, and there are 3.8 times fewer cases than a year ago.[21]
過去のうわさとの共通点
- A real new variant with a nickname ("Pirola", "Stratus", "ultramutant")
- Many mutations are presented as "a lot of danger"
- Early lab data is retold as final
- The absence of detected cases is explained as a "cover-up"
新しい点
- Two countries in one rumor at once: Russia and Kazakhstan
- Added fear that rapid tests "cannot see" the virus
10. どうすればよいか
- Get vaccinated against COVID-19 under your national schedule, especially if you are over 60 or have chronic conditions. Vaccination protects against severe illness.
- If you get sick, stay home, wear a mask around other people and ventilate the room.
- See a doctor urgently if you have trouble breathing, chest pain, confusion or blue lips. People at risk should see a doctor at the first symptoms.
- If you have symptoms but a rapid test is negative, do not rush to conclusions: ask a doctor about a PCR test.
11. 確認できなかったこと
- That rapid tests detect PJ.2.1 worse: this is what some doctors say, and no research or test-maker data was found.
- The figure "about 20% in the US": it appears in a paid blog and is not checked against CDC data (the US disease control agency). A recent CDC estimate for PJ.2.1 could not be found.
- The first post with the wording "authorities are hiding it" could not be found. Posts on X and Telegram do not open without logging in.
- The exact date of the first sample in Canada: the scientific papers give only the month (May 2026).
- Both lab studies have not yet been peer-reviewed by other scientists, and their conclusions may be refined.
- That PJ.2.1 causes a worse sore throat and longer fatigue: virologist Malinnikova repeated this with the word "supposedly", and no studies with such data were found.
- That the WHO sees no overall rise in cases: this appears in Moika78's summary, but not in the available version of the RIA Novosti report; the original WHO statement could not be found.
12. 情報源
- bioRxiv: epidemiology and properties of PJ.2.1 (Germany, preprint) · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- bioRxiv: PJ.2.1 binding to cells (preprint) · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- Public Health Ontario: genomic surveillance, October 5, 2026 · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- ECDC: SARS-CoV-2 variants as of October 30, 2026 · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- WHO: tracking SARS-CoV-2 variants · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- WHO: data requested for vaccine composition, December 2026 · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- WHO: COVID-19 fact sheet · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- RIA Novosti: Rospotrebnadzor on the severity of PJ.2.1 · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- RIA Novosti: WHO on the risks of spread · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- RIA Novosti: WHO has no data on cases in Russia · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- RIA Novosti — WHO to review PJ.2.1 data in December · 閲覧日 2026.11.08
- Moika78 — WHO to issue recommendations over the new strain · 閲覧日 2026.11.08
- Rossiyskaya Gazeta — Malinnikova on sore throat with PJ.2.1 · 閲覧日 2026.11.08
- RIA Novosti: Onishchenko on PJ.2.1 · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- Snob: WHO on PJ.2.1 · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- Gazeta: Rospotrebnadzor on cases in Russia · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- Izvestia: "ultramutant" may come to Russia · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- Moscow Agency: a doctor on rapid tests · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- Rossiyskaya Gazeta: "More contagious, but unlikely more dangerous" · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- nur.kz: what Kazakhstanis need to know about PJ.2.1 · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- Kazakhstan Today (kt.kz): Ministry of Health on "Stratus" rumors · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- Wikipedia: BA.2.86 · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- X: Stephan Pöhlmann's thread on PJ.2.1 · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
- X: Jeff Gilchrist on variants in Ontario · 閲覧日 2026.11.05
6. SNS
Science thread: new samples from Spain, the variant seems to be spreading worldwide, but it is too early to say whether it will become dominant.[23]
An independent analyst writes that in Ontario PJ.2.1 shares first place with variant XFG, at about 35%. This is not official statistics.[24]